Sabato weighs in on draft opinion that could overturn Roe v. Wade
CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. (CBS19 NEWS) -- The University of Virginia Center for Politics is weighing in on a potential decision that could overturn Roe v. Wade.
In a stunning breach of court confidentiality, a draft opinion for the Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization case, which could have major implications for Roe v. Wade decision, was leaked.
"It is an absolute political earthquake," UVA Political Analyst Larry Sabato said.
He says the impact could be far-reaching.
"It is a major part, not only of the federal elections, for U.S. House and U.S. Senate, but also for governorships around the country and the elections for state legislators," Sabato said.
He says since the document was published, both Republicans and Democrats are already plotting and planning their next moves.
"This is clearly something the Democrats will use, and use to their advantage. The problem that they have is the inflation issue is probably more important in terms of motivating individual voters," Sabato said. "Before this decision, I think the Republicans were likely to outpace the Democrats in turnout in most places. That may still be true, that may not. We'll see what the rolling reaction is to the overturning of the Roe precedent."
Since Chief Justice John Roberts confirmed the draft's authenticity, Sabato says both parties could expect the 1973 decision on abortions to be overturned.
"Any doubt that this was just a real draft opinion is now been removed from the Chief Justice himself," he said. "It's perfectly legitimate to speculate about it. It could still change, it could still switch. I supposed a vote could switch, odds are though this is fairly substantial in what will see when the court releases its final ruling."
The court is expected to release an official decision in June.